Mark Androvich talks 2008 @ GamesIndustry

Vikingod · Jan 3, 2008, 03:28 PM

Source: GamesIndustry
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Making predictions is a risky business - especially on the Internet, where every thoughtless statement can end up preserved for eternity (or at least long enough for someone to taunt you with it for the rest of your life).

It seems to me that the person doing the predicting has three possible avenues: a conservative estimate practically guaranteed to come true, an educated guess often based upon inside information not available to the general public, and wild speculation which is almost always wrong.

For example, last year at this time I would have written the following: Sony needs to lower the price of the PS3 to become competitive (obvious), the Nintendo Wii will be in ample supply in the US no later than April (educated guess, but wrong), the PSP will be redesigned (inside information), and Peter Moore will get himself a "Red Rings of Death" tattoo (wildly inaccurate speculation).

Jan 3, 2008, 03:28 PM	#1
Vikingod Int'l Fish Liaison Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: By the light of lamp I sit and type... Posts: 16,187 Rep Power: 109 System Specs	Mark Androvich talks 2008 @ GamesIndustry Source: GamesIndustry ___________ Making predictions is a risky business - especially on the Internet, where every thoughtless statement can end up preserved for eternity (or at least long enough for someone to taunt you with it for the rest of your life). It seems to me that the person doing the predicting has three possible avenues: a conservative estimate practically guaranteed to come true, an educated guess often based upon inside information not available to the general public, and wild speculation which is almost always wrong. For example, last year at this time I would have written the following: Sony needs to lower the price of the PS3 to become competitive (obvious), the Nintendo Wii will be in ample supply in the US no later than April (educated guess, but wrong), the PSP will be redesigned (inside information), and Peter Moore will get himself a "Red Rings of Death" tattoo (wildly inaccurate speculation). __________________ *How You Can Help DriverHeaven By Using Digg*