calidan

It's easy to make fun of Bill Gates's predictions, especially the "speech interfaces are five years away" prediction that he's been making regularly for the past decade. But then again it's easy to make fun of most futurists' predictions. Gates gets mocked widely not so much because his score is so bad (everybody's score is fairly bad) but because he's such a high-profile target.

Even a broken clock is right twice a day, though, and I for one think Gates is more or less right in his recent prediction that Asian software piracy will be largely under control in another decade.

"In India and China it will be a decade before we get that level," Gates told business leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos. "But as long as there is year-by-year progress, it holds a great opportunity for us in terms of scale, which helps us do more, and it's a great place where we have people working for us."

Gates said sales of the company's software in both countries were increasing every year and he was optimistic that China and India would eventually adopt proper licensing practices, just as Taiwan and South Korea had done.
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Read More / Source: ars technica

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"Don't try to be like Jackie. There is only one Jackie.... Study computers instead." - Jackie Chan